Mushumo wacho wakataura kuti panosvika gore ra2030, mota dzemagetsi dzichange dzichisvika 86% yemusika wepasi rose.
Sekureva kwemushumo weRocky Mountain Institute (RMI), mota dzemagetsi dzinotarisirwa kutora 62-86% yemusika wepasi rose panosvika gore ra2030. Mutengo wemabhatiri e-lithium-ion unotarisirwa kudzikira kubva paavhareji yemadhora zana nemakumi mashanu nerimwe pa kilowatt-awa muna 2022 kusvika pamadhora makumi matanhatu kusvika makumi mapfumbamwe pa kilowatt-awa. RMI inoti kudiwa kwemotokari dzemafuta pasi rose kwakwira uye kuchadzikira zvakanyanya pakupera kwezana remakore. Indasitiri yemotokari dzemagetsi haisi itsva mukukura kwekutengesa mumakore mashoma apfuura. Sekureva kweInternational Energy Agency, 14% yemotokari dzese dzakatengeswa muna 2022 dzichave dzemagetsi, kubva pa9% muna 2021 uye 5% chete muna 2020.
Ruzivo rwemishumo runoratidza kuti misika mikuru miviri yemotokari dzemagetsi pasi rose, China neNorthern Europe, dziri kutungamira kuwedzera uku, nenyika dzakadai seNorway dzichitungamira ne71% yemusika wemotokari dzemagetsi. Muna 2022, mugove wemusika wemotokari dzemagetsi weChina wakamira pa27%, Europe pa20.8%, uye America pa7.2%. Misika yemotokari dzemagetsi iri kukura nekukurumidza inosanganisira Indonesia, India, neNew Zealand. Saka chii chiri kukonzera kuwedzera uku? Mushumo weRMI unoratidza kuti hupfumi ndihwo hutsva hunokonzeresa. Panyaya yemutengo wese wekuva muridzi, kuenzana kwemitengo nemotokari dzemagetsi dzemukati kwawanikwa, nemisika yepasi rose inotarisirwa kusvika pakuenzanisa mitengo panosvika 2030. BYD neTesla vatoenzanisa mitengo yevanokwikwidza neICE. Uyezve, kukwikwidzana pakati pevagadziri vemotokari kuri kukurumidzisa kuchinja uku, nemafekitori emagetsi emagetsi akakwana uye mafekitori emotokari ari kuvakwa kuti ave nechokwadi chekuti anowanikwa zvakakwana panosvika kuguma kwezana remakore. MuUnited States, zvinokurudzira kubva kuInflation Reduction Act yehurumende yaBiden pamwe nemutemo weInfrastructure Law wemapato maviri zvakakonzerawo kuvakwa kwefekitori nekugadziriswazve. Kupfuura mitemo yakatarwa, mitengo yemabhatiri yakaderera ne88% kubvira muna 2010 sezvo huwandu hwesimba huri kuramba huchikura ne6%. Chati iri pazasi inoratidza kudzikira kukuru kwemitengo yemabhatiri.
Uyezve, RMI inofanotaura kuti "nguva yeICE" yava kusvika kumagumo. Kudiwa kwemotokari dzinoshandisa gasi kwakakwira muna 2017 uye kwave kudzikira ne5%. RMI inofungidzira kuti panosvika 2030, kudiwa kwemafuta kubva kumotokari dzinoshandisa gasi kuchadzikira nemamiriyoni emabhara pazuva, nekudiwa kwemafuta pasi rose kuchiderera nekota. Uku ndiko kutarisira kwemushumo pane zvinogoneka. Kunyange zvazvo chidzidzo ichi chichifanotaura zvine ushingi nezveramangwana, chinoti mwero wekushandiswa kwemotokari dzemagetsi unogona kuchinja nekuda kwezvinhu zvisingatarisirwi, zvakaita sekuchinja kwemitemo yeramangwana, kuchinja kwemaonero evatengi, uye kusiyana kwezvematongerwo enyika nehupfumi. Kururama kwemushumo uyu hakugone kuvimbiswa. Itarisiro yakanaka pane zvinogoneka.
Nguva yekutumira: Gunyana-13-2025
Chaja yemagetsi inotakurika
Bhokisi remadziro remagetsi repamba
Chiteshi Chekuchaja cheDC
Nzvimbo yekuchaja yeBESS
V2G V2H V2V V2L
Module yekuchaja yeEV
Chinongedzo chekuchaja cheDC
Zvishongedzo zvemagetsi