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Ingxelo yathi ngo-2030, izithuthi zombane ziya kuphendula ukuya kuthi ga kwi-86% yesabelo semarike yehlabathi.
Ngokwengxelo ye-Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI), izithuthi zombane kulindeleke ukuba zibambe i-62-86% yesabelo semarike yehlabathi ngo-2030. Iindleko zeebhetri ze-lithium-ion kulindeleke ukuba ziwe ukusuka kumyinge we-151 yeedola nge-kilowatt-yure kwi-2022 ukuya kwi-$ 60-90 nge-kilowatt-yure. I-RMI ithi imfuno yemoto esekwe kwi-oyile yehlabathi inyukile kwaye iya kuncipha kakhulu ekupheleni kwenkulungwane. Ishishini lezithuthi zombane aliqhelekanga ekukhuleni kweentengiso kule minyaka imbalwa idlulileyo. Ngokwe-Arhente yezaMandla yaMazwe ngaMazwe, i-14% yazo zonke iimoto ezithengisiweyo ngo-2022 ziya kuba zombane, ukusuka kwi-9% ngo-2021 kunye ne-5% kuphela ngo-2020.
Ingxelo yedatha ibonisa ukuba iimarike ezinkulu ezimbini zehlabathi zezithuthi zombane, i-China kunye noMntla Yurophu, zikhokele kolu hlaselo, kunye nezizwe ezifana neNorway ehamba phambili nge-71% yesabelo semarike yezithuthi zombane. Ngo-2022, isabelo semarike yesithuthi sombane saseTshayina simi kwi-27%, iYurophu ikwi-20.8%, kunye neMelika kwi-7.2%. Iimarike zemoto zombane ezikhula ngokukhawuleza ziquka i-Indonesia, i-Indiya, ne-New Zealand. Ke yintoni eqhuba olu tyando? Ingxelo ye-RMI ibonisa ukuba uqoqosho ngumqhubi omtsha. Ngokumalunga neendleko ezipheleleyo zobunini, ukulingana kwexabiso kunye neenjini zokutsha zangaphakathi kuye kwaphunyezwa, kunye neemarike zehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba zifikelele kwixabiso lentengo ngo-2030. I-BYD kunye neTesla sele sele ihambelana nexabiso labakhuphisana nabo be-ICE. Ngaphaya koko, ukhuphiswano phakathi kwee-automakers lukhawulezisa utshintsho, kunye nebhetri yemoto yombane eyaneleyo kunye neefektri zezithuthi ezisakhiwayo ukuqinisekisa ukuba kukho unikezelo olwaneleyo ekupheleni kwenkulungwane. E-United States, inkuthazo evela kumthetho we-Biden wokuNcitshiswa kwexabiso lentengo kunye noMthetho weZiseko zoMbindi weZiseko eziManyeneyo nazo ziye zavusa amaza okwakhiwa komzi-mveliso kunye nohlengahlengiso. Ngaphandle kwamanyathelo omgaqo-nkqubo, amaxabiso ebhetri ehle nge-88% ukususela ngo-2010 njengoko uxinano lwamandla luqhubeka nokukhula ngesantya sonyaka se-6%. Itshathi engezantsi ibonisa ukuhla okubonakalayo kumaxabiso ebhetri.
Ngaphaya koko, i-RMI iqikelela ukuba “ixesha le-ICE” liza kuphela. Imfuno yezithuthi ezisebenza ngegesi inyuke kakhulu ngo-2017 kwaye iye yehla nge-5%. Iiprojekthi ze-RMI ezithi ngo-2030, imfuno ye-oyile evela kwizithuthi ezisebenza ngegesi iya kuhla nge-1 yezigidi zeebhareli ngosuku, kunye nemfuno ye-oyile yehlabathi iyancipha ngekota. Le yimbono enethemba lengxelo kwinto enokwenzeka. Ngelixa isifundo senza izibikezelo ezinesibindi malunga nekamva, liphawula ukuba amaxabiso okwamkelwa kwezithuthi zombane angaguquguquka ngenxa yezinto ezingalindelekanga, ezifana nokutshintsha komgaqo-nkqubo wexesha elizayo, utshintsho kwimvakalelo yabathengi, kunye nokungafani kwezentlalo kunye nezoqoqosho. Ukuchaneka kwale ngxelo akunakuqinisekiswa. Yimbono enethemba ngokufanelekileyo kwinto enokwenzeka.
Ixesha lokuposa: Sep-13-2025
