Umbiko uthe ngo-2030, izimoto zikagesi zizobalelwa ku-86% wesabelo semakethe yomhlaba wonke.
Ngokombiko we-Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI), izimoto zikagesi kulindeleke ukuthi zibambe u-62-86% wesabelo semakethe yomhlaba wonke ngo-2030. Izindleko zamabhethri e-lithium-ion kulindeleke ukuthi zehle kusukela ku-$ 151 ngehora nge-kilowatt-hora ku-2022 kuya ku-$ 60-90 nge-kilowatt-hora. I-RMI ithi isidingo sezimoto ezisekelwe kuwoyela emhlabeni wonke senyuke kakhulu futhi sizokwehla kakhulu ekupheleni kwekhulunyaka. Imboni yezimoto zikagesi ayiyona into engaziwa ekukhuleni kokuthengiswa eminyakeni embalwa edlule. Ngokusho kwe-International Energy Agency, u-14% wazo zonke izimoto ezidayiswe ngo-2022 zizoba zikagesi, zisuka ku-9% ngo-2021 kanye no-5% ngo-2020.
Imininingwane yombiko ikhomba ukuthi izimakethe ezimbili zezimoto zikagesi ezinkulu emhlabeni, iChina neNorthern Europe, yizona ezihamba phambili kulokhu kuhlasela, amazwe afana neNorway ehamba phambili ngemakethe yezimoto zikagesi engu-71%. Ngo-2022, imakethe yezimoto zikagesi yaseChina imi ku-27%, iYurophu iku-20.8%, neMelika iku-7.2%. Izimakethe zezimoto zikagesi ezikhula ngokushesha zifaka i-Indonesia, i-India, ne-New Zealand. Ngakho-ke yini eqhuba lokhu kuhlasela? Umbiko we-RMI ukhombisa ukuthi ezomnotho yizona ezihamba phambili. Mayelana nezindleko eziphelele zobunikazi, ukulingana kwentengo nezimoto zenjini evuthayo yangaphakathi kufinyelelwe, nezimakethe zomhlaba okulindeleke ukuthi zifinyelele isilinganiso samanani ngo-2030. I-BYD ne-Tesla sebevele bafanise intengo yezimbangi zabo ezinamandla e-ICE. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukuncintisana phakathi kwabakhiqizi bezimoto kusheshisa ushintsho, ngamabhethri ezimoto zikagesi ezanele kanye nezimboni zezimoto ezakhiwayo ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukutholakala okwanele ekupheleni kwekhulunyaka. E-United States, izinxephezelo ezivela kumthetho we-Biden Wokuncishiswa Kokwehla Kwamanani Emali kanye noMthetho Wengqalasizinda wezingxenye ezimbili nakho kubangele igagasi lokwakhiwa kwefekthri kanye nokuhlelwa kabusha. Ngale kwezinyathelo zenqubomgomo, amanani ebhethri ehle ngo-88% kusukela ngo-2010 njengoba ukuminyana kwamandla kuqhubeka nokukhula ngezinga lonyaka lika-6%. Ishadi elingezansi libonisa ukwehla okukhulu kwezintengo zebhethri.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-RMI ibikezela ukuthi “inkathi ye-ICE” isizophela. Isidingo sezimoto ezihamba ngegesi sinyuke kakhulu ngo-2017 futhi sehlile ngezinga lonyaka lika-5%. Amaphrojekthi e-RMI okuthi ngo-2030, isidingo sikawoyela ezimotweni ezisebenza ngegesi sizokwehla ngemiphongolo eyisigidi ngosuku, kanti isidingo sikawoyela emhlabeni wonke sehla ngekota. Lona umbono wombiko wethemba ngalokho okungenzeka. Nakuba ucwaningo lwenza izibikezelo ezinesibindi mayelana nekusasa, luphawula ukuthi amanani okutholwa kwezimoto zikagesi angashintsha ngenxa yezinto ezingalindelekile, njengezinguquko zenqubomgomo zesikhathi esizayo, ukuguquguquka kwemizwa yabathengi, kanye nokwehluka kwezenhlalo nezomnotho. Ukunemba kwalo mbiko akunakuqinisekiswa. Kungumbono onethemba lalokho okungenzeka.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Sep-13-2025
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